Analisis perbandingan peramalan permintaan pasir silika dan batu tras menggunakan metode single exponential smoothing dan moving average

Authors

  • Nazhiifah Ananda Pramillia Universitas Pembangunan Nasional "Veteran" Jawa Timur
  • Hafid Syaifullah Program Studi Teknik Industri, Universitas Pembangunan Nasional “Veteran” Jawa Timur

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.31004/jutin.v8i1.39444

Keywords:

Batu Tras, Moving Average, Pasir Silika, Peramalan, Single Exponential Smoothing

Abstract

XYZ Company is a subsidiary of PT. Z which is one of the largest companies in Indonesia. XYZ Company has various businesses in the sales and distribution sector, one of which is raw materials for making cement. The purpose of this study is to find out and analyze the demand for silica sand and tras stone. in December 2024. This study uses the Single Exponential Smoothing and Moving Average method with the help of Microsoft Excel in forecasting the demand for silica sand and tras stone in XYZ company for raw materials for cement making using historical data on the demand for silica sand and tras. The results of the correct forecast to forecast the demand for silica sand and tras stone for December 2024, the most accurate results were obtained using the Single Exponential Smoothing method of 5,064.05 and 4,063.45 with MAD values; MSE; and MAPE of 1,677.69 and 2,285.85; 4,997,901.53 and 7,442,297.34; and 46% and 62%.

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Published

2025-01-13

How to Cite

Pramillia, N. A., & Syaifullah, H. (2025). Analisis perbandingan peramalan permintaan pasir silika dan batu tras menggunakan metode single exponential smoothing dan moving average. Jurnal Teknik Industri Terintegrasi (JUTIN), 8(1), 257–265. https://doi.org/10.31004/jutin.v8i1.39444

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Section

Articles of Research

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